Argentina

In-depth country-focused analysis on Argentina's economic, political and operational risk environment, complemented by detailed sector insight

Our comprehensive assessment of Argentina's operating environment and the outlook for its leading sectors are formed by bringing together a wealth of data on global markets that affect Argentina, as well as the latest industry developments that could impact Argentina's industries. This unique integrated approach has given us an impeccable track-record for predicting important shifts in the markets, ensuring you’re aware of the latest market opportunities and risks in Argentina before your competitors.

Argentina Country Risk

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The Argentine economy is reeling following the January 2014 currency devaluation. Economic growth has slowed markedly, prompting us to revise down our real GDP forecasts, as soaring inflation...

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Argentina Industry Coverage (22)

Agribusiness

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BMI View: With an election on the horizon and a deteriorating economic environment , the Argentine grain sector will continued play centre stage over the medium term. With foreign reserves...

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Autos

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Vehicle sales in Argentina declined 33.8% y-o-y in the first six months of 2014, to 306,431 units. BMI has become increasingly bearish on the outlook for the Argentine autos sector in 2014 on the...

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Commercial Banking

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Commercial Banking Sector Indicators Date Total assets Client loans Bond portfolio Other Liabilities and capital Capital Client deposits Other...

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Consumer Electronics

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BMI View: T he short-term outlook for Argentina's consumer electronics market is weakened by economic challenges includin g soaring inflation and devaluation of the peso in January 2014. As a...

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Defence & Security

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BMI View: Argentina is facing into a period of political transition. President Cristina Fernández de Kirchner was forced to hand over to her vice president in October due to ill-health...

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Food & Drink

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BMI Industry View We have reduced our regional ranking for Argentina's food and drink industry from its 2013 rank. We forecast that the high inflation rate seen through 2012 and 2013 will continue...

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Freight Transport

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BMI maintains its cautious outlook for the Argentine freight transport sector. A more drastic slowdown than we previously expected in various high frequency indicators have led us to revise down our...

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Information Technology

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BMI View: The depreciation of the peso and import restrictions affecting PC sales in recent years have taken their toll as the domestic economy contracts for the first time since September 2012...

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Infrastructure

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BMI View:   We are maintaining our construction industry forecast for Argentina in 2014 at 1.5% real growth and we anticipate an average of 3.3% real growth in the industry over the next five...

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Insurance

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BMI View: As of mid-2014, the latest data published by the Superintendencia de Seguros de la Nación (SSN - the regulator) highlights the resilience of premiums in both the non-life...

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Medical Devices

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Espicom Industry View: The Argentine medical device market ranks sixth in Latin America . Espicom forecas ts a low 2013-2018 CAGR of 4.8 % in U S dollar terms, affected by the projected...

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Mining

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BMI View: Though Argentina possesses significant natural resources and has a relatively underdeveloped mining sector, we expect modest industry growth of just 0.5% on average per annum...

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Oil & Gas

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BMI View: We have grown increasingly bullish on Argentina's upstream this quarter. Formal resolution to the Repsol-YPF dispute has removed a major barrier to international oil companies looking to...

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Petrochemicals

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The Argentine petrochemicals industry will struggle to compete against imports from Brazil and the US as competitiveness declines amid feedstock shortages. While the situation could turn around if...

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Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare

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BMI View: The Argentine economy is still reeling from the January 2014 currency devaluation. Soaring inflation and stringent drug pricing controls will continue to discourage investment and erode...

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Power

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BMI View:   Argentina's power sector continues to struggle, with power generation increasing by just 1.6% in 2013, below consumption growth, and occasional blackouts highlighting the clear need...

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Real Estate

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BMI View:   Argentina's commercial real estate sector continues to be affected by the wider economic problems, notably high inflation, low GDP growth, restrictions on the purchase of US dollars...

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Renewables

Retail

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BMI View: BMI expects   Argentina's retail market to experience moderate growth over the forecast period to 2018, but is not overly attractive to potential investors due to high...

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Shipping

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BMI View:   BMI   maintains its cautiously optimistic view o n the Argentine port sector. The country enjoys a good commodities mix, but it continues to struggle with external headwinds , as...

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Telecommunications

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BMI View : Argentina's telecoms market continues to show potential , but the threat of increasing government intervention offer s considerable downside to the long-term picture....

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Water

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BMI View:   The water sector in Argentina is characterised by the incoherent involvement of several national and regional ministries, underinvestment, underdevelopment and an outdated water...

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