Burkina Faso
In-depth country-focused analysis on Burkina Faso's economic, political and operational risk environment, complemented by detailed sector insight

Our comprehensive assessment of Burkina Faso's operating environment and the outlook for its leading sectors are formed by bringing together a wealth of data on global markets that affect Burkina Faso, as well as the latest industry developments that could impact Burkina Faso’s industries. This unique integrated approach has given us an impeccable track-record for predicting important shifts in the markets, ensuring you’re aware of the latest market opportunities and risks in Burkina Faso before your competitors.

Country Risk

Burkina Faso Country Risk

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  • Political Risk will remain elevated in Francophone West Africa, a region which is characterised by weak state institutions and lasting political instability. Violence in Mali and the collapse of the Central African Republic highlight the fragility of impoverished inland countries, and the need for regional solutions to failed states.

  • Long-term Economic G rowth in Francophone West Africa will average just 5.0% between 2014 and 2023, much lower than the 6.4% that we forecast for Sub-Saharan Africa (excluding South Africa). BMI believes that the economies of UEMOA will outperform those of CEMAC, many of which are struggling with stagnating oil production.

  • Economic growth in Côte d'Ivoire will remain elevated, averaging 8.0% between 2014...

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Burkina Faso Country Risk

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Core Views

  • Burkina Faso will continue along its present growth trajectory over the next 10 years, growing at an average annual rate of 6.9%. A continued dependence on primary industries, however, will ensure that the country remains vulnerable to external shocks such as extreme weather and commodity price fluctuations.

  • We believe that declining gold prices will make Burkina Faso's mining sector a less attractive investment proposition, though a revised taxation code will prop up the industry to some extent. The new code, due to be formulated in late 2014, will contain a number of business-friendly concessions aimed at attracting investment into the gold sector over the long term.

  • Growing disaffection with long-ruling President Blaise Compaore, a rapidly growing population, and increasing regional security threats will challenge political...

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