Mali
In-depth country-focused analysis on Mali's economic, political and operational risk environment, complemented by detailed sector insight

Our comprehensive assessment of Mali's operating environment and the outlook for its leading sectors are formed by bringing together a wealth of data on global markets that affect Mali, as well as the latest industry developments that could impact Mali's industries. This unique integrated approach has given us an impeccable track-record for predicting important shifts in the markets, ensuring you’re aware of the latest market opportunities and risks in Mali before your competitors.

Country Risk

Mali Country Risk

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  • Political Risk will remain elevated in Francophone West Africa, a region which is characterised by weak state institutions and lasting political instability. Violence in Mali and the collapse of the Central African Republic highlight the fragility of impoverished inland countries, and the need for regional solutions to failed states.

  • Long-term Economic G rowth in Francophone West Africa will average just 5.0% between 2014 and 2023, much lower than the 6.4% that we forecast for Sub-Saharan Africa (excluding South Africa). BMI believes that the economies of UEMOA will outperform those of CEMAC, many of which are struggling with stagnating oil production.

  • Economic growth in Côte d'Ivoire will remain elevated, averaging 8.0% between 2014...

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Mali Industry Coverage (2)

Mining

Mali Mining

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BMI View: We expect West Africa's mining sector to undergo rapid growth as companies are attracted to the region's sizeable mineral deposits. Iron ore will be the centre of this transformation as abundant high-grade reserves in Guinea, Sierra Leone, Liberia and Cote d'Ivoire offer unrivalled opportunities. However, risks to this bullish outlook remain weighted to the downside, with weak global iron ore prices, insufficient infrastructure and political concerns top of the list.

West Africa will exhibit some of the fastest rates of growth in iron ore production over the coming years which will make the region a major export hub by 2018. We expect steady growth in gold production in Ghana, Côte d'Ivoire and Burkina Faso, however we highlight that weak gold prices will squeeze margins for gold miners and precipitate mine closures where cash costs become unsustainable.

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West African Boom

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Telecommunications

Mali Telecommunications

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BMI View: Our Q414 West and Central Africa report analyses latest industry, regulatory and macroeconomic developments in the telecoms markets of seven countries: Cameroon, Côte d'Ivoire, the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), Gabon, Mali, Mauritania and Senegal. The greatest growth area in these markets is the broadband sector, which should benefit from improved international connectivity, investment in wireless data networks and cheaper devices. The mobile operators in the region will also seek to expand their non-voice services portfolios to create new revenue streams that will offset the sluggish revenue growth from traditional services.  

Key Data

  • The average mobile market growth for the seven countries in our...

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