Mexico

In-depth country-focused analysis on Mexico's economic, political and operational risk environment, complemented by detailed sector insight

Our comprehensive assessment of Mexico's operating environment and the outlook for its leading sectors are formed by bringing together a wealth of data on global markets that affect Mexico, as well as the latest industry developments that could impact Mexico's industries. This unique integrated approach has given us an impeccable track-record for predicting important shifts in the markets, ensuring you’re aware of the latest market opportunities and risks in Mexico before your competitors.

Mexico Country Risk

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Core Views We remain optimistic toward Mexico's long-term growth outlook on the back of a booming manufacturing sector, an increasingly strong private consumer and favourable demographics. The...

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Mexico Industry Coverage (24)

Agribusiness

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BMI View: Overall, the long-term outlook for the Mexican agriculture sector looks less optimistic than previous years. Consumer demand growth is largely slowing, particularly in key areas like...

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Autos

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BMI forecasts 5.8% growth in vehicle sales in Mexico in 2014 on the back of an expected 5.4% increase in passenger car sales and 6.5% growth in the commercial vehicle (CV) segment.Over the first six...

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Commercial Banking

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Commercial Banking Sector Indicators  Date Total assets Client loans Bond portfolio Other Liabilities and capital Capital Client deposits Other...

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Consumer Electronics

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BMI View: W e expect robust growth to be maintained in the Mexican consumer electronics market over the medium term. We forecast demand to grow strongly in 2014, boosted by the proliferation of...

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Defence & Security

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We maintain our stance that security policy is likely to be the Achilles heel of President Enrique Peña Nieto's administration. Although the government announced that in February 2013,...

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Food & Drink

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BMI View: We expect household spending in Mexico to pick up in the coming quarters, as unemployment declines and consumers gradually adapt to new taxes that took effect on January 1. We forecast...

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Freight Transport

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After Mexico's real GDP growth came in at 1.1% in 2013, below our initial 1.6% estimate, we have revised our 2014 growth forecast. We now forecast real GDP to expand by 3.3% in 2014, compared to 3.5...

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Information Technology

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BMI View: W e have a bullish outlook for IT sector development in Mexico over the medium term due to a convergence of income growth, declining device prices, a supportive policy environment and...

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Infrastructure

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BMI View: Leading indicators support our view that Mexico's construction sector will return to growth in H214 . Following a 4.5% contraction in industry value in 2013, due to persistent delays...

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Insurance

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BMI View : We view the g overnment drive to invest in infrastructure over the forecast period, combined with new legislation to mandate vehicle insurance on national highways , as positive...

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Medical Devices

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Espicom Industry View: The Mexic an medical device market ranks second in Latin America. Espicom forecas ts a high 2013-2018 CAGR of 13.4 % in US dollar terms, taking the market to US$6.9 bn...

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Metals

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BMI Forecast: We expect expansion of the automotive, manufacturing, construction, and oil and gas sectors, all of which rely on steel and other refined metals as input s , will lead to steady...

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Mining

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BMI View: We forecast Mexico's mining sector will see steady growth through 2018 as mining companies continue to invest in both base and precious metals mining projects . We forecast the...

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Oil & Gas

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BMI View:   We believe that the current Mexican energy sector reform marks the start of a fundamental paradigm shift for the country's hydrocarbons sector. Although it will take a number of...

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Petrochemicals

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In our view, growth in the Mexican petrochemicals sector could be stimulated by liberalisation of the upstream energy sector. President Enrique Pena Nieto's reforms would allow more private sector...

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Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare

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BMI View:   The lack of a unified reimbursement system, the absence of widespread private health insurance, relatively low healthcare spending and the promotion of generic drugs in Mexico will...

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Power

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BMI View:   The outlook for Mexico ' s power sector is good . Generation will rise by around 3.8% year on year in 2014 and 4.2% in 2015, driven by strong growth in manufacturing and construction...

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Real Estate

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BMI View: We are forecasting Mexico's commercial real estate industry to show a consistent, yet unremarkabl e performance over 201 4 , with rental rates across all sub-sectors expected to...

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Renewables

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BMI View: While some investors remain cautious over the pace and implementation of Mexican energy reform, we maintain our constructive outlook of the country's renewables industry and our...

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Retail

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BMI View: Mexico's retail sector represents a dynamic and growing market full of opportunities for investment. BMI forecasts that the overall economy will expand significantly over the...

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Shipping

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BMI remains optimistic toward Mexico's long-term growth outlook on the back of a booming manufacturing sector, an increasingly strong private consumer and favourable demographics. As a result, we...

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Telecommunications

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BMI View :   A change in regulatory environment enforcing more market openness and competition marks a very positive change for the Mexican telecommunication market. Following the ratification...

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Tourism

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BMI believes Mexico's tourism industry has enormous long-term potential, largely owing to its proximity to the US. However, there are concerns with regard to rising levels of insecurity and the...

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Water

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BMI View: In Mexico, there are a number of issues inhibiting the water sector's full development including widespread pollution, the over politicisation of the water sector and the numerous riots...

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