Poland

In-depth country-focused analysis on Poland's economic, political and operational risk environment, complemented by detailed sector insight

Our comprehensive assessment of Poland's operating environment and the outlook for its leading sectors are formed by bringing together a wealth of data on global markets that affect Poland, as well as the latest industry developments that could impact Poland's industries. This unique integrated approach has given us an impeccable track-record for predicting important shifts in the markets, ensuring you’re aware of the latest market opportunities and risks in Poland before your competitors.

Poland Country Risk

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Core Views The export-driven recovery we have anticipated in Poland is now in motion, and we are now turning increasingly positive towards the country's domestic demand outlook. We expect a robust...

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Poland Industry Coverage (24)

Agribusiness

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BMI View: We see the most growth potential for Poland's livestock sector owing to increased export potential to the EU and Asia. The livestock industry in the country is relatively price-...

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Autos

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In 2014, BMI forecasts total vehicle sales in Poland to increase 14%, to some 402,000 units. This comes on the back of a forecasted 16% increase in passenger car sales and 5.1% increase in the...

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Commercial Banking

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Commercial Banking Sector Indicators Date Total assets Client loans Bond portfolio Other Liabilities and capital Capital Client deposits Other...

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Consumer Electronics

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BMI View: we have a positive outlook for the medium term development of   Poland 's consumer electronics market . Our outlook is underpinned by a strong consumption story and demand growth in...

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Defence & Security

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BMI View: BMI believes that Poland will spend up to US$7. 5 bn on defence during 2014. This will be a reduction from 2013 when the country ' s defence budget totalled US$7.6bn. We expect...

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Food & Drink

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The past year and a half or so was challenging for the Polish consumer. Following a sustained boom that lasted even through the 2008-2009 period, when nearly all of Europe grinded to a halt, real...

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Freight Transport

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2.8% GDP Growth Expected This Year BMI remains fundamentally positive about the Polish economy, although a little below consensus in our growth forecasts. Underpinning this is our view that...

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Information Technology

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BMI View:   W e expect the Polish IT market will be a regional outperformer over the medium term based on a strong macroeconomic outlook, untapped potential and technology trends . We expect...

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Infrastructure

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BMI View :   Our optimism towards Poland's construction sector in 2014, following a steep 9% contraction in 2013, is being rewarded. Growth, while modest, could come in quicker and stronger...

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Insurance

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BMI View : Poland continues to be the most important market in Central and Eastern Europe. While growth in premiums in 2014 is expected to come in relatively flat many of the amjor insurance...

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Medical Devices

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Espicom Industry View: The Polish medical device market is expected to grow by a CAGR of 7.7 % over the 2013-2018 period, due to the strengthening of the economy, and subsequently, medical...

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Metals

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The economic recovery in Poland continues to gather momentum, with leading and coincident indicators - particularly retail sales and wage growth - pointing towards improvements in domestic demand in...

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Mining

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BMI View:   Growth in the Polish mining sector will be modest and predominantly driven by increased coal output. Copper output will struggle as falling copper ore grades and weak prices are set...

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Oil & Gas

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BMI View:   W hile Poland could see first commercial shale gas production in 2014-2015, we remain cautiously optimistic with regard to the country 's shale gas production.   Given t he need...

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Petrochemicals

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The Polish petrochemicals industry continues to face a challenging domestic market and a slow recovery in external markets, which have combined to depress output growth of basic polymers, according...

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Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare

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BMI View: Poland ' s pharmaceutical market is the second largest in Central and Eastern Euro pe. Integration with the EU has created greater opportunities for foreign firms in the...

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Power

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BMI View: Our forecasts for Poland's broader economy and - by extension - the country's power sector remain muted . However, the outlook for both is improving , underpinning our forecasts for...

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Real Estate

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BMI View:  Poland boasts one of the most developed and investor friendly commercial real estate sectors in the Central Eastern Europe region. We see little to challenge this view in Q314 as...

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Renewables

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BMI View: Since the Polish government approved the renewable energy sources (RES) law in April 2014, there has been relatively little activity in the Polish renewables sector. This is something...

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Retail

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BMI View:   Poland's retail sector is burgeoning. While the overall population is in decline, personal expenditures and household wealth have increased and encouraged the positive outlook. Now...

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Shipping

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BMI remains fundamentally positive about the Polish economy, although a little below consensus in our growth forecasts. Underpinning this is our view that domestic consumption will remain strong,...

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Telecommunications

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BMI View: Poland is one of the largest telecoms markets in C entral and E astern E urope , with vibrant competition across all market segments. This has benefited consumers through service...

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Tourism

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BMI View: The ongoing tensions between Russia and Ukraine will substantially affect our forecasts over the next year or so, as Ukraine is traditionally one of the largest source markets for...

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Water

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BMI View: Despite a limited number of natural water resources, Poland is putting an impressive amount of energy into developing its water sector. Much of this development is an attempt to comply...

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