Senegal
In-depth country-focused analysis on Senegal's economic, political and operational risk environment, complemented by detailed sector insight

Our comprehensive assessment of Senegal's operating environment and the outlook for its leading sectors are formed by bringing together a wealth of data on global markets that affect Senegal, as well as the latest industry developments that could impact Senegal's industries. This unique integrated approach has given us an impeccable track-record for predicting important shifts in the markets, ensuring you’re aware of the latest market opportunities and risks in Senegal before your competitors.

Country Risk

Senegal Country Risk

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  • Political Risk will remain elevated in Francophone West Africa, a region which is characterised by weak state institutions and lasting political instability. Violence in Mali and the collapse of the Central African Republic highlight the fragility of impoverished inland countries, and the need for regional solutions to failed states.

  • Long-term Economic G rowth in Francophone West Africa will average just 5.0% between 2014 and 2023, much lower than the 6.4% that we forecast for Sub-Saharan Africa (excluding South Africa). BMI believes that the economies of UEMOA will outperform those of CEMAC, many of which are struggling with stagnating oil production.

  • Economic growth in Côte d'Ivoire will remain elevated, averaging 8.0% between 2014...

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Senegal Country Risk

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Core Views:

  • Real GDP growth will be 4.7% in 2017 and 2016, and will remain at a similar level over the coming years.

  • Senegal's current account deficit will widen from 10.1% in 2015 to 11.1% in 2016 as capital goods imports are ramped up.

  • The country will remain a bastion of West African stability and will continue to develop its democratic institutions.

  • Inflationary pressures will be benign, in part thanks to the XOF Franc's peg to the euro.

Key Risks To Outlook:

  • A major risk is posed by the West African outbreak of Ebola. Although only one case had been reported in Senegal by early October 2015, it could derail growth in the country.

  • A salient risk to our outlook for the...

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Senegal Industry Coverage (1)

Telecommunications

Senegal Telecommunications

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BMI View: Our Q414 West and Central Africa report analyses latest industry, regulatory and macroeconomic developments in the telecoms markets of seven countries: Cameroon, Côte d'Ivoire, the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), Gabon, Mali, Mauritania and Senegal. The greatest growth area in these markets is the broadband sector, which should benefit from improved international connectivity, investment in wireless data networks and cheaper devices. The mobile operators in the region will also seek to expand their non-voice services portfolios to create new revenue streams that will offset the sluggish revenue growth from traditional services.  

Key Data

  • The average mobile market growth for the seven countries in our...

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