Ukraine

In-depth country-focused analysis on Ukraine's economic, political and operational risk environment, complemented by detailed sector insight

Our comprehensive assessment of Ukraine's operating environment and the outlook for its leading sectors are formed by bringing together a wealth of data on global markets that affect Ukraine, as well as the latest industry developments that could impact Ukraine's industries. This unique integrated approach has given us an impeccable track-record for predicting important shifts in the markets, ensuring you’re aware of the latest market opportunities and risks in Ukraine before your competitors.

Ukraine Country Risk

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Core Views: EU/IMF financing package will require reforms, including: FX liberalisation (although this is likely to be implemented in stages), partial removal of gas subsidies and potentially...

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Ukraine Industry Coverage (20)

Agribusiness

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Despite ongoing tensions with Russia, Ukraine will see another strong grain harvest in 2014/15. In our view, ongoing tensions between Russia and Ukraine will pose downside risks to exports as we...

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Autos

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In Ukraine, vehicle production increased 65% year-on-year (y-o-y) in the first five months of 2014, to 13,697 units. We attribute this recent surge to extremely low base effects and resurging exports...

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Commercial Banking

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Commercial Banking Sector Indicators Date Total assets Client loans Bond portfolio Other Liabilities and capital Capital Client deposits Other...

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Defence & Security

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Overall, defence and security risks are likely to rise in the near-future for Ukraine as the country teeters on the brink of revolution. Internally, ongoing resistance to the government's decision to...

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Food & Drink

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BMI View: The outlook for Ukraine's economy has deteriorated rapidly since the publication of our Q2 Food & Drink report. Our Country Risk team believes that Ukraine will experience a...

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Freight Transport

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Following a year in which BMI believes saw declining volumes in all freight modes but one, 2014 will signal slow growth across the whole freight transport sector and in some modes a return to pre-...

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Infrastructure

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BMI View: The situation in the Ukrainian political and economic spheres remains highly volatile. The Presidential elections and the IMF USD17bn bailout have brought the country back from the...

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Insurance

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BMI View: The overall panorama of the insurance sector in Ukraine remains very uninspiring. In part because of underwriting of risks on non-commercial terms, prices and margins remain under...

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Medical Devices

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Espicom Industry View:   The Ukraini an medical device market is expected to grow by a CAGR of 1.5 % over the 2013-2018 period, a large fall compared with previous forecasts, caused by poor...

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Metals

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BMI View: Ukraine's metals sector will see modest growth over the forecast period, with a handful of new projects to increase production growth. Production will not return to pre-crisis highs,...

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Mining

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BMI View : We forecast modest growth Ukraine's mining sector output over our forecast period to 2018. Coal and iron ore will be the main drivers of volume growth. Nevertheless, Ukraine's...

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Oil & Gas

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BMI View: Sustained interest from major international companies in Ukraine's gas reserves provides some upside potential in alleviating a part of its import burden in the long run. However,...

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Petrochemicals

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Ukraine's petrochemicals industry will fail to come out of recession in 2014 due to the impact of the country's political crisis, which threatens to deteriorate into a civil war and even a conflict...

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Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare

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BMI View: Ukraine remains a risky pharmaceutical market, despite having once been one of the most attractive markets in the Central and Eastern European region. In 2014, owing to the...

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Power

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BMI View: The outlook for Ukraine ' s power sector and energy security looks as hazardous as it has ever done in 2014 and 2015. While the imminent threat of Russian invasion seems to have passed...

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Real Estate

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The Ukrainian real estate sector is slowly recovering from the effects of the global economic downturn, with the office and industrial sectors faring the worst, leading to high vacancy rates and low...

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Shipping

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In 2014 the port of Odessa will continue holding the top position in Ukraine's maritime sector in terms of container throughput and one of the top positions in terms of total tonnage, after...

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Telecommunications

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BMI View:   The ongoing crisis in Ukraine will likely filter down to the telecoms market as well, after operators reported damaged networks and instances of network blackouts , causing them to...

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Tourism

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The tourism market in Ukraine faces an uncertain future, with current regional and domestic tensions likely to deter visitors in the short term, while over the long term the market will suffer from a...

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Water

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BMI View:   The ongoing tensions between Russia and Ukraine, particularly the former ' s demands for the latter's federalisation in exchange for gas supplies, and the possibility that Crimea's...

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